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MLB Ejections 190-191 - Mike Estabrook (12-13; WAS)

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HP Umpire Mike Estabrook ejected Nationals SS Trea Turner and Manager Dave Martinez (strike three call; QOCY in the top of the 5th inning of the #Nationals-#Braves game. With none out and none on, Nationals batter Trea Turner took a 3-2 fastball from Braves pitcher Mike Soroka for a called third...

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11 of the 13 ejections were when the call was correct. Probably just means no playoffs unfortunately, even with the correct call being made during 11 of those ejections.

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39 minutes ago, dumbdumb said:

11 of the 13 ejections were when the call was correct. Probably just means no playoffs unfortunately, even with the correct call being made during 11 of those ejections.

Does Estabrook have a bad ball/strike reputation among players and coaches?  Makes you wonder.  Or maybe he doesn't allow as much complaining as his peers?

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We were at the game. It was highly entertaining.  Started on the AB before. Carried over to the next one.   From a Braves point of view it was about the highlight of the game.  

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18 hours ago, LMSANS said:

@Gil,have you done any analysis of whether the ejected was losing at the time of ejection?

I track four variables relevant to that question: W/L at time of ejection (Pre), W/L at Final (Final), Runs scored after ejection (RF), and runs scored by opponent after ejection (RA).

The most common combination of Pre/Final is L=>L, followed by W=>W. From there, it's Tie=>L, Tie=>W, L=>W, and W=> L. All else equal a team generally loses if they were already losing, wins if they were already winning, and splits ties at about a 50-50 clip. These are averages and every so often there's a year where teams are exceptionally good at winning games they weren't winning at the time of ejection (e.g., 2016) or, conversely, losing games they weren't losing at the time of ejection (2015), but it's generally not a good strategy over a span of multiple seasons. Things tend to even out to a largely neutral-to-negative correlation with winning percentage.

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On 9/9/2019 at 6:53 PM, grayhawk said:

Does Estabrook have a bad ball/strike reputation among players and coaches?  Makes you wonder.  Or maybe he doesn't allow as much complaining as his peers?

They may remember this below from years gone by, but, he is not in the top ten worst (nor in the top 10 best) umpires in the statistics/study in which Ted Barrett was called the worst plate umpire for 2018 in the article and 10th over the last ten years, with Jerry Layne at the top/worst for those 10 years. CCS has mentioned the faultiness of the accuracy issue, as the analyst was not given a realistic set of parameters that come in to play before the start of the study, with some variables that CCS has acknowledged for years.

https://thebaseballcodes.com/category/umpire-relations/mike-estabrook/

 

https://www.bu.edu/articles/2019/mlb-umpires-strike-zone-accuracy

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