kylejt, on 17 February 2012 - 04:51 PM, said:
Talk about crazy.
I've caught quite a few bullpens for 81-from-48-feet guys in the old days---including my own son---and it is not the same (12-year-old PONY is 48). There may be some formula for figuring reaction time, but all that aside, a 100-m.p.h. fastball's number of revolutions makes it an altogether different animal. The explosion at the end of the flight of a 100-m.p.h. fastball is unique.
We had one 12-year-old All-Star team with five kids who threw 80 m.p.h. Of the low-80s-at-age-12-or-13 guys that I had on our clubs, the only guy who ever broke 90 in his life wound up being a catcher in college, and now catches in the minors. Robert Stock was the biggest star of all and threw the hardest. At 12, he threw 85 m.p.h. He was clocked in the low-90s at 14 and topped out at 95 in college.
My son topped out at 88 in college and lives at 82-84. Another kid got through two years of college and topped out at 89 on his best day. The two others were done at 16 and 17, respectively, because they threw curveballs. So, five kids threw 80-plus at 12, and one is still pitching. My son is the one still pitching at 22 because I didn't let him air it out very often, and I taught him a couple of change-ups and didn't allow him to throw a curveball.
Today's No. 1-ranked high school pitcher in the country, Lucas Giolito, throws 99, and didn't throw 81 at 12. Not even close. He developed late and is better off for it. He has probably thrown half as many pitches as some of his peers. The guys who throw too hard too early are often finished at this age, and this kid is throwing 99 m.p.h. as a senior (I have two of his games on my schedule!). And if he's willing to wait three years to be a multimillionaire, he's going to UCLA!













